Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.008249 0.009678 0.011387 0.013616 0.016493 0.020155 0.025290
2025-09-14 0.006181 0.007787 0.009918 0.013053 0.017739 0.024831 0.037183
2025-09-21 0.005208 0.006874 0.009245 0.013047 0.019394 0.030472 0.053998
2025-09-28 0.004698 0.006442 0.009076 0.013634 0.022059 0.039000 0.083787
2025-10-05 0.004437 0.006306 0.009288 0.014847 0.026272 0.053167 0.146889
2025-10-12 0.004107 0.005996 0.009142 0.015361 0.029322 0.067167 0.242434
2025-10-19 0.003731 0.005551 0.008676 0.015126 0.030615 0.077697 0.361809
2025-10-26 0.003468 0.005257 0.008425 0.015257 0.032872 0.093745 0.612182
2025-11-02 0.003198 0.004918 0.008034 0.014990 0.033979 0.107204 0.990943
2025-11-09 0.002898 0.004493 0.007423 0.014099 0.032966 0.110952 1.326667
2025-11-16 0.002657 0.004152 0.006935 0.013405 0.032333 0.116377 1.887202
2025-11-23 0.002533 0.004011 0.006824 0.013590 0.034609 0.140983 4.620481
2025-11-30 0.002345 0.003751 0.006473 0.013195 0.035101 0.158932 12.067143
2025-12-07 0.002163 0.003490 0.006093 0.012663 0.034971 0.174219 41.547490
2025-12-14 0.002046 0.003339 0.005925 0.012658 0.036902 0.213064 13080.394523
2025-12-21 0.001984 0.003287 0.005960 0.013220 0.041608 0.302272 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001965 0.003316 0.006179 0.014382 0.050197 0.521971 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001903 0.003252 0.006175 0.014874 0.056094 0.799829 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001806 0.003108 0.005964 0.014649 0.057836 1.018577 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001736 0.003014 0.005864 0.014775 0.062017 1.502306 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001652 0.002886 0.005666 0.014519 0.063546 1.970718 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001547 0.002705 0.005317 0.013666 0.060251 1.956903 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001457 0.002553 0.005033 0.013001 0.058063 2.049779 NaN